Despite the start of the rainy season, there is no indication of the return of many pastoral households that migrated with their livestock in search of better pastures. In eastern Benguela and northern Cunene, sorghum and millet crops have been planted and are expected to recover at the onset of rains later in the season. Much of Benguela province is showing slight rainfall deficits for this time of the year, which could negatively affect pasture conditions for nomadic pastoralists from Namibe. However, the coastal strip and the lower southern areas are experiencing some delays in the onset of rains. As of mid-October, parts of the north and central regions of the country have experienced an onset of seasonal rains ( Figure 1). Anecdotal reports indicate that land preparation activities began in September in northern and central parts of the country and are ongoing. Currently, poor households in the southwest are experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes.Īccording to the latest forecast, average rainfall is likely across much of Angola from October to December. Additionally, many households have yet to return to their original homesteads in time to prepare for the 2022/23 agricultural season. However, poor households in the southwest, spanning the Southern livestock, millet, and sorghum (A03) and Southern Highlands Agro-pastoral (A04) livelihood zones, are facing consecutive poor harvests, depleted food reserves, declining herd sizes, and limited income opportunities due to drought. Most rural households across the country are facing Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes as they deplete their 2021/22 production from September-October and start purchasing subsidized products through January 2023. Food insecurity is expected to improve slightly in January as some households begin to access horticultural harvests, and during the main harvest period in the southwest (March-May 2023). As more households continue to rely on markets, lower-than-normal purchasing power will continue to drive Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in these areas throughout the outlook period. Many pastoral households that migrated with their livestock for better pastures have yet to return to their homes and may not participate in land preparation and planting for the 2022/23 season. These measures have resulted in declining or stabilizing prices for REA food products, including beans, soybean oil, maize flour, sugar, wheat flour, chicken, and rice.įrom November 2022 to May 2023, poor households in parts of the southwest will continue intensifying their typical livelihoods strategies earlier than normal due to the depletion of their food reserves and significantly below-average income from the 2021/22 harvesting labor. Oil revenues continue to bolster the exchange rate of the kwanza, allowing the government to increase food subsidies and curb imported inflation for food items. Subsidized fertilizer is improving access for farmers limited by elevated fertilizer prices. The cost of fertilizer continues to rise, keeping it out of the reach of many poor households for the 2022/23 agricultural season. Average rainfall is likely across much of Angola from October to December. In parts of Namibe, Cunene, and Huìla provinces, poor households are experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) conditions after facing consecutive poor harvests, depleted food reserves, declining herd sizes, and limited income opportunities due to drought.Īs of late October, a normal seasonal onset of rains has occurred across most of the country, except for the coastal strip and the lower southern areas. Across most of the country, rural households face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes as they continue consuming their own production from the 2021/22 harvest.
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